Kruger leads UNLV past No. 14 Air Force

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/21/2007 - Las Vegas, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kevin Kruger scored 14 points and added 10 assists to help the UNLV Rebels to a 60-50 victory over the 14th-ranked Air Force Falcons at Thomas & Mack Center.

Joel Anthony added 10 points and nine rebounds while Wendell White donated eight points and nine rebounds for the Rebels (23-6, 10-4 MWC), who have won four of their last five games.

Nick Welch had 15 points, nine rebounds and five assists while Dan Nwaelele contributed 14 points and eight rebounds for the Falcons (23-5, 10-4), who had won their previous three games coming into the contest.

The second half started out much the same as the first half with the game staying close, but Wink Adams drained a free throw to complete a three- point play to give UNLV a 43-36 lead with 14:31 to play.

Air Force did not let UNLV pull away and a three-pointer by Nwaelele got his squad to within two points, 48-46, with 9:53 to play.

However, the Rebels ran off a 10-1 burst and took a 58-47 after Kruger capped it off with two free throws with 4:22 to play.

Matt McCraw answered with a three-pointer, but it was the last basket Air Force made in the contest.

It was a tight contest through much of the first half, but the Rebels went on an 8-0 run capped by an Anthony layup with 7:57 left to take a 20-14 lead.

However, the Falcons used the long ball to close the gap, connecting on five shots from behind the arc and trailed, 31-30, heading into the locker room.

Game Notes

Air Force attempted 39 three-pointers, making 11 of them, but shot only 30 percent in the game...UNLV leads the all-time series, 18-7...The Rebels connected on 38 percent of their shots, but went 14-of-16 from the free throw line.

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Betting Football

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.

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