No. 1 Louisville to try and avoid upset at hands of Siena

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/22/2009 - Dayton, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Midwest Regional was full of upsets on the first day and the top-seeded Louisville Cardinals will try to avoid one themselves against the ninth-seeded Siena Saints in second-round play at UD Arena this evening. The survivor of this battle will move on to the Sweet 16 against either Arizona or Cleveland State next week.

There were five upsets in the Midwest Regional alone in the first round and Siena accounted for one of them, as they pulled off a dramatic 74-72 double- overtime win against eighth-seeded Ohio State on Friday. While it was a lower seed beating a higher one, it wasn't exactly a shocking result, as the Saints are a talented group that even trounced fourth-seeded Vanderbilt in the first round of this event last year. Winners of five straight, the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference regular season and tourney champions have now matched the program record for victories in a season with 27.

As for Louisville, it swept both the Big East Tournament and regular season titles on its way to the No.1 overall seed in this event. The Cardinals got their run started on Friday with an expected, 74-54 victory over 16th-seeded Morehead State. It was the 11th straight victory for red-hot Louisville, which is now one win away from reaching the Sweet 16 for the 17th time in school history.

The Cardinals and Saints have met just one time previously on the hardwood, with Siena capturing a 78-71 victory all the way back in 1953.

Ronald Moore hit a three-pointer with three seconds left in the first overtime to keep the Saints' season alive and he made an identical three-point bucket with 3.9 seconds remaining in the second overtime to lift Siena over Ohio State in a thriller on Friday. It was a gritty performance by the Saints, who shot just 33.3 percent from the floor, including only 6-of-24 from downtown. Siena made up for some of those shooting woes by dominating the boards, 53-37, and that takes into account a sizeable 23-9 advantage on the offensive glass. All five starters reached double figures for the Saints, with Edwin Ubiles and his 20 points leading the way. Ryan Rossiter notched a double-double with 16 points and 15 boards, and Kenny Hasbrouck tallied 12 points and nine boards. Moore finished with 11 points and six assists, while Alex Franklin recorded a double-double of his own with 10 points and 13 rebounds. On the season, Ubiles tops the roster in scoring at 14.8 ppg and Hasbrouck his hot on his trail with 14.7 ppg. Franklin contributes 13.5 ppg and 7.5 rpg, and Rossiter adds 10.2 ppg and a team-best 8.0 rpg to the mix.

After leading just 35-33 at the half, the Cardinals opened the second stanza with a 22-6 run to seize control and coast to the 74-54 win over Morehead State on Friday. Louisville shot a sizzling 58.0 percent from the floor and made good on 10-of-24 attempts from long distance. Freshman Samardo Samuels paced the team with 15 points and seven boards, while Terrance Williams had 13 points and nine rebounds. Earl Clark posted 12 points and five boards and he leads the team in both of those departments with 14.0 ppg and 8.7 rpg on the season. Williams ranks second to him with 12.4 ppg and 8.5 rpg, but he tops the club with 5.0 apg and 82 steals. Samuels checks in with 12.0 ppg and 4.7 rpg for the Cardinals, who are limiting teams to just 61.4 ppg on the season.

Lottoballls NCAA Basketball Betting News

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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

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